Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.065729 4.554476 5.085810 5.707489 6.416368 7.201145 8.138019
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.397115 4.052155 4.816450 5.778488 6.963235 8.382362 10.222664
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.958182 3.695774 4.602779 5.809101 7.384803 9.391406 12.169491
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.578102 3.340156 4.316906 5.674441 7.534112 10.024011 13.663556
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.323570 3.105487 4.144061 5.643737 7.785663 10.783582 15.384275
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.109965 2.897293 3.976104 5.587174 7.975058 11.452799 17.030425
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.018447 2.844969 4.012179 5.813515 8.582658 12.778200 19.811565
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.875611 2.703565 3.903578 5.809110 8.833369 13.577719 21.850488
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.741203 2.561345 3.778464 5.762271 9.004660 14.258192 23.762833
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.557182 2.328958 3.496674 5.441293 8.697914 14.118451 24.233585
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.473847 2.244567 3.435629 5.466546 8.960426 14.952627 26.529370
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.431067 2.219834 3.465343 5.641111 9.489364 16.297459 29.936403
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.361877 2.149573 3.419099 5.688632 9.810949 17.326018 32.922925
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.296082 2.080004 3.368459 5.723633 10.113169 18.352854 36.057993
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.234274 2.012261 3.315000 5.747411 10.394474 19.367558 39.311853
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.151635 1.903073 3.181671 5.613213 10.359468 19.752952 41.261916
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.093065 1.831328 3.108228 5.582675 10.520779 20.546951 44.228132
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.035524 1.757470 3.025489 5.526765 10.624268 21.229306 47.034927
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.022574 1.762172 3.085069 5.750330 11.320046 23.251976 53.353163
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.978936 1.708127 3.031997 5.745977 11.536330 24.246655 57.295181
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.933023 1.646966 2.961261 5.699712 11.657053 25.037647 60.841396
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.856627 1.524473 2.765987 5.382653 11.154164 24.331152 60.322142
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.826891 1.488577 2.735775 5.407598 11.417785 25.464596 64.982717